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Barron’s: 对中国影响比十年前小得多
送交者: luntan 2018月07月14日20:06:13 于 [世界军事论坛] 发送悄悄话
回  答: 耿直哥:摩根斯坦利报告出来了:贸易战对中国GDP的影响有多大? 棋迷 于 2018-07-14 07:30:59

十年前净出口(出口减进口)占GDP 7%. 今天只占百分之二。而美国占其中的五分之一。也就是GDP的百分之零点四。所以贸易战对中国影响不应该很大。

Washington is a decade late in launching economic war on Beijing, says Andy Rothman, investment strategist at fund manager Matthews Asia. Net exports (the difference between exports and imports) account for just 2% of China’s gross domestic product, down from 9% in 2007. Sales to the U.S. account for a fifth of that. And most of the biggest exporters from China are foreign-owned multinationals. “The impact of a trade war on the majority of listed Chinese companies will be quite modest, because China is not an export-driven economy,” he says.

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