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Israeli and American Defense Sectors Panicking Now
送交者:  2024年04月19日05:54:46 于 [世界军事论坛] 发送悄悄话

Defense Sector Panicking: Iran Missiles Defeated "Most Advanced, Integrated, ABM Defensive Systems"

Defense Sector Panicking: Iran Missiles Defeated "Most Advanced, Integrated, ABM Defensive Systems"

By now, most of the world knows that Iran launched a multi-faceted attack against Israel about 48 hours ago.  The "fallout" from that attack is now becoming frighteningly clear, and it has Defense Experts TERRIFIED.

As the attack was in-progress, Iran undertook a very unusual, and apparently foolish, series of steps.  They announced they had launched drones and then cruise missiles against Israel.  They announced this despite the fact the drones and missiles still had 57 more minutes to travel before reaching their targets!   

Expert Observers thought it very strange - and foolish - that an attacker would give out such information while the very weapons they launched had not yet arrived.  It gave Israel and its allies time to go after those weapons, which they did.

Well . . . it turns out this was not strange or foolish - it was planned.  Iran launched the old dregs of their arsenal!  First generation drones. First generation cruise missiles.  What they launched was the junk they had laying around for years!  Slow moving, loud, junk.  Iran WANTED Israeli defenses to focus on that old junk, and not on what they would fire next: Ballistic Missiles.

Many of the drones simply fell out of the sky from malfunctions.  Others were easily intercepted by fighter jets from Israel, the US, and the UK, with some help from French naval assets in the Mediterranean Sea. 

There was a much-heralded "99% interception success rate" broadcast around the world for all to hear.  Turns out, there's a problem.  A MAJOR problem: Iran's Ballistic Missiles.   A few of them, got through.

Almost no one noticed this "problem" because there has been no media coverage of it, until this article.

The hint there was a BIG problem, came today.  US Media reported:

"U.S. National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan stated today that the Department of Defense alongside U.S. Central Command is continuing to Increase the Readiness and Integration of Air Defenses and Early Warning Systems in the Middle East, in order to Erode the Effectiveness of Iran’s Missile and Drone Capabilities."

When I read that, I thought to myself "Who asked you?"   Why say something like that?  Unless . . . .  unless. . . . there's a big problem.  So I started looking, and asking questions.  Here's what I found:

The missiles that hit the two bases in the Negev region didn't just "get through."  They did so against the most-heavily-defended area in the world, protected with the most advanced, integrated, Anti-Ballistic-Missile (ABM) systems known to exist in the West.

Two Israeli Bases in the Negev region and one Intelligence Base in the far north of Israel on Mount Hermon, got hit by Iranian missiles.

In the north, the secret intelligence base in the north of the occupied Golan Heights located in Jabal al-Sheikh (Mount Hermon), got hit and seriously damaged.

In the south, the Israeli Nevatim and Ramon Bases got hit and THIS is where the problem reared its ugly head.

According to secret intelligence information, at the Nevatim Air Base in the Negev Desert, Hangar to Israel's F-35 Stealth aircraft and Mossad Spy aircraft, at least Forty-four (44) Mossad personnel were killed.

But for the Defense sector, that pales in comparison to what took place for Iran to achieve that.

Nevatim was defended by the world’s most advanced integrated anti-missile defense shield which incorporated Arrow 2, David’s Sling, THAAD, and Patriot 3 with the AN/TPY-2 X-band surveillance and targeting radar.  This system was designed to exclusively defend against the Iranian medium-range ballistic missile threat.

Below is an actual photo of the actual radar deployed to protect those bases. Here is what it looks like:

Advanced US Radar Negev Desert Israel

And yet . . . 5 to 7 missiles hit Nevatim. The Israelis have acknowledged 2 runways and three warehouse structures hit.

Not a knockout blow — it wasn’t intended as such.

But any Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) expert would note that the point of impact was center mass, a clear indication of precision guidance.

5-7 missiles hit the world’s most heavily defended location, defeating an integrated ABM defense that was custom built to defeat the very missiles it failed to shoot down.

THAT has some people in the Defense sector, literally panicked.   You see, if 5-7 missiles got through, then it is a given that others can get through.  And simple math reveals that had Iran fired thirty (30) missiles at that base, the base would no longer exist.

The Iranians know this now.  They __know__ Israeli "missile defenses" cannot stop their medium range ballistic missiles with any great reliability. 

While Jordan fired US PATRIOT missiles to down a few Iranian missiles, Jordan's PATRIOTS are now completely depleted. They have NONE left.

Fighter jets did down a few additional Iranian missiles, but not many.

As such, Israel is not only vulnerable, there is no "filler" technology that can be quickly inserted into the advanced, integrated system, to make things better for Israel.  Put simply, right now, Israel is factually defenseless from any large salvos of these missiles.

Think about that for a moment.  

The most advanced, integrated air defense radar system in the world, its mission is to detect Iranian missile launches, and pass targeting data to Israeli Arrow, David’s Sling, and U.S. THAAD ABM batteries deployed to protect sensitive Israeli sites, including Dimona and the Nevatim and Ramon air bases.

Iranian missiles struck both Nevatim and Ramon air bases.

The best surveillance radar in the world, working in concert with the most sophisticated anti-missile defenses in the world, were impotent in the face of the Iranian attack.

What has galled Israel is not the attack itself, it was that the most advanced missile defense systems in the world couldn't stop the very missiles they were built to stop!

Iran has now achieved a "strategic deterrence" of Israel.  Israel now knows Iran will  hit them, but can also hit them at-will with missiles Israel cannot stop.

Even worse, now that the "junk" is gone from Iran's inventory, they can bring out the Second and third generation versions of their drones and missiles.   Hezbollah did that TODAY.  Hezbollah utilized almost silent, very-much-faster, jet powered drones to hit Israel in the north today.

People on the ground did not hear the drones until they were dive bombing the targets!

If Iran starts using these, the speed alone will cut down flight time, by half or more, making it even harder to intercept such drones if launched.

What the second or third generation cruise missiles might be able to do, none of us know yet.

We've now seen what Iran's Ballistic Missiles can do - nasty!

The Iran response to the Israel attack upon the Iranian Embassy in Syria, has opened a chasm in the Middle East balance of power.  The world changed that day.  Not in ways the general public knew - until now.


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3 婵犵數鍋為崹鍫曞箹閳哄懎鍌ㄩ柣鎾崇瘍閻熸嫈鏃堝川椤撶姴鈧偤姊虹粙鍖″姛闁哥姵鎸剧划濠氬Ψ閳哄倻鍘遍梺鍦劋閹歌崵娆㈤懠顒傜<闁靛⿵绠戦埢鏇犫偓娈垮枛閻忔艾顕ラ崟顒傜瘈閹肩补鎳囬弻銈夋⒒娴h櫣甯涚痪鏉跨Ч瀹曟﹢鎳¢妶鍡╂綗闂佹眹鍨归幉锟犲磻鐎n喗鍋℃繛鍡楃箰椤忣亞绱掗悩闈涘幋闁哄矉绻濆畷顏呮媴閸涘﹦浜梻浣告憸閸熷潡宕戦幘缁樷拺鐟滅増甯楁禍銈夋煙閸戙倖瀚� eastwest
4 闂傚倸鍊风粈浣割嚕閸洖鍨傞柣銏⑶归弰銉╂煏韫囧鐏紒鈧崘顔界厽闁挎繂鎳愬ḿ锟犳煟閹邦剦鍤熼柍缁樻⒐閵囧嫰骞樼捄杞版勃缂備礁鍊稿ú顓㈠蓟閵堝憛褔宕惰婵洖鈹戦埥鍡椾簴闁稿﹥娲熼崺銏ゅ籍閸繂宓嗛梺鏂ユ櫅閸熶即濡堕鈧娲箹閻愭彃顬堝銈嗗灥鐎氼噣骞忚ぐ鎺撳亜閻忓繋鐒﹂~宥夋⒑閸撴彃浜剧紒韫矙閹顢橀悜鍡欏數闁荤姳娴囬~澶屸偓姘炬嫹 eastwest
5 闂傚倷绀侀幉锟犮€冮崱妤婄唵婵☆垰鐨烽崑鎾舵喆閸曨偀鏋欏Δ鐘靛仦閹瑰洭鐛崶顒夋晬闁挎繂鎳忛弳銉︾節濞堝灝鏋熼柨鏇樺灲瀵煡鎳犻鍌欑瑝濠电偛妫欓崹鍫曞窗閸℃稒鐓ユ繝闈涙閸e綊鏌$€Q冧壕闂備礁鎼ˇ顖炴偋韫囨稑绠犻柟鐐湽閳ь剙鍊挎俊鎼佸煛閸屾瀚芥俊鐐€栧ú宥夊磻閹炬番浜滈柨婵嗗閻瑩鏌℃担鍝バゅù鐙呯畵楠炲棜顦村ù婊庡灦閺岋綁鎮╂潏鈺冪摌闂佺懓鍤栭幏锟� eastwest
6 婵犵數濮伴崹浠嬄烽崒鐐茬獥婵炴埈婢佺紞鏍倵閿濆骸鏋涚紒鈧崒娑栦簻闁瑰搫妫楁禍鍓х磽娴d粙鍝洪柛銊ユ健瀵偄顓奸崱妯侯€撻柣鐘叉礌閳ь剙鍟胯-20婵犵數鍋為崹鍫曞箰閹间焦鐓ラ柨鐕傛嫹-35A婵犵數鍋為崹鍫曞箰閼姐倕鍨濈€广儱顦粻鏌ユ煥濠靛棙顥犻柍缁樻煥閳规垿鎮╅幓鎺濅槐闂佽桨绶ら幏锟� eastwest
7 闂傚倷鐒﹂幃鍫曞磿閺夋嚦娑㈠礋椤栵絾鏅╅悗骞垮劚椤︻垳绮堥崱娑欑厓闁告繂瀚弳鐐烘煙鐠佽瀚� - 婵犵數鍋涢顓㈠储瑜旈弫鍐Ψ閵夘垵鈧潡鏌¢崶銉ョ仾闁搞倐鍋撻梻浣告啞閸旓箓宕㈡禒瀣垫晛婵ǹ鍩栭崑锝夋煙娴煎瓨娑ф鐐村浮閺岀喖鎮滈幋鎺撳枤闂佹悶鍔嶉崕鎶姐偑娴兼潙绀嬮梻鍫熺☉琚�10闂傚倷鑳堕崑銊╁磿婵犳艾绠柨鐕傛嫹 eastwest
8 缂傚倸鍊风粈渚€鎯岄崒婊呯=婵﹢顤傞弫鍡涙煥閻曞倹瀚�3000闂傚倷绀侀幖顐︽偋閸愵喖纾婚柟鍓х帛閻撴盯鏌涚仦鍓ф噧鐎规挸妫欓妵鍕Ψ椤栨粍鍋ч梺璇″枟婢瑰棙绂掗敃鍌涘殟闁靛/灞剧柈 zt eastwest
9 婵犵數鍎戠徊钘壝洪妶鍥e亾濮樼厧澧撮柟顔诲嵆閹垽宕楅悡搴濆嚱闂備胶纭堕崜婵婃懌闂佽绻戦崝鏇㈡箒闂佺粯鎸搁崙浠嬪绩缂佹ḿ绡€闁逞屽墴瀵挳濮€閻橀潧鎽嬮梻浣筋嚃閸ㄥ酣宕ㄩ銈囧垱闂傚倷绶氬Λ璺ㄦ椤曗偓楠炲繘鏁撻敓锟�-35闂傚倷娴囬妴鈧柛瀣崌濮婃椽顢曢敐鍥e闁诲孩淇哄▍鏇㈠箞閵娿儮鏀介柟鐐綑椤忥拷-10 eastwest
10 婵犵數鍋涢顓熸叏娴兼潙纾块柟娈垮枟椤洘绻涢幋娆忕仼缂佲偓閸愵喗鐓犵痪鏉垮船婢ф壆鈧娲橀崝娆撳蓟閿熺姴鐐婇柕濠忓缁嬪洤顪冮妶蹇曠暢婵炲娲滃Σ鎰板箳濡も偓楠炪垺鎱ㄥ鍡楀姦婵犻潧顑嗛悡娆徫涢悧鍫㈢畵濞存粎澧楃换婵嬪焵椤掑嫬閱囬柡鍥╁枑濞呮牕鈹戦瑙掕绂嶉鈧埢鏃堝即閻忚缍婇幃鈺咁敊閻撳骸顫氱紓鍌欑椤﹂亶宕楀鈧獮濠囧箻缂佹ɑ娅㈤梺璺ㄥ櫐閹凤拷 eastwest
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