| 建议细看一下你提到的学术论文 |
| 送交者: 铁马 2020月01月26日08:37:31 于 [世界军事论坛] 发送悄悄话 |
| 回 答: 这篇是比较正式的学术论文，比你那个煽情文可靠 由 涡轮 于 2020-01-26 08:19:20 |
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这是文章的第一段： An estimated one third of the world's population (or ≈500 million persons) were infected and had clinically apparent illnesses (1,2) during the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic. The disease was exceptionally severe. Case-fatality rates were >2.5%, compared to <0.1% in other influenza pandemics (3,4). Total deaths were estimated at ≈50 million (5–7) and were arguably as high as 100 million (7). 文中估计西班牙流感全球染病人数500M，死亡人数50M到100M. 所以死亡率是10%~20%, 也就是50M/500M ~ 100M/500M. 另外10%~20%是百年来对西班牙流感的公认研究结果，我目前还没有看到别的数字。 |
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