more than 30 times your number.  Still adding at the rate of 0.7 a day!  Your number is even less than the number of ICBMs China has today, not mentioning the IRBMs, SRBMs, CMs, nuclear bombs, artillery shells, mines, ... etc. 

In 80s, China was afraid of the preemptive, surgical nuclear surprise attacks, because of its great numerical disadvantages (several hundreds) compared to what the US and Russia had at that time (more than 20,000 in total, large and small).  After 2000, China's annual nuclear production rate has been doubled, after the new plants and production lines were added, starting after the 1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis, while the total numbers of the US and Russian nuclear forces are dwindling continuously all along.  Today, it has become a totally different story.  China is now afraid of NO ONE, although it chooses not to advertise such a status! 

The crouching-tiger policy of China is unlikely to change anytime in the foreseeable future.  At least I don't see it, unless the situation becomes so urgent and desperate, that China has to show its muscle, hoping to prevent the horrible war of complete human annihilation from happening.  There are both pros and cons for this old don't-say policy.  It has deeply to do with the old Chinese cultural tradition for over thousand years.  However, personally, I think, this don't-say policy has the great danger that it can actually lead to, not prevent, the final disaster from happening, and people will find it's too late to stop the unthinkable tragedy - even if China does changes its mind and announces its nuclear superiority at the critical moment.  People will have no time to think, to evaluate, or even want to believe, the newly announced truth.  And the wheel of human history will still fall off no matter what China says at that time!