John Ross：The central date for China's GDP to overtake the US at market exchange rates is 2019

http://ablog.typepad.com/keytrendsinglobalisation/2011/02/the-central-date-for-china.html

If the overall period since the start of economic reform, i.e. 1978-2010, is taken then China’s annual nominal dollar GDP growth is 12.2 per cent. If the most recent 20 year period 1990-2010 is taken then annual nominal GDP growth is 15.0 per cent. If the most recent 10 year period 2000-2010 is taken then annual nominal dollar GDP growth is 17.2 per cent (calculated from World Bank, 2010). If the most recent 5 year period is taken, 2005 to 2010, then the annual average increase in nominal dollar GDP is 21.1 per cent. The rate of growth of China’s GDP in nominal dollar terms has therefore clearly shown an accelerating trend.

可惜，我不能上图。给个连接吧，自己看：

http://ablog.typepad.com/.a/6a00e554717cc98833014e861b136f970d-pi