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水军势猛,跺不跺自己粘量
送交者: eachus 2014月02月18日21:04:48 于 [世界股票论坛] 发送悄悄话
回  答: 金银价突破200天关键均线! 道友 于 2014-02-18 10:14:03
早上的财经版头条被水军淹没了,急坏了谁?

水军的3篇文章里,真的找到了一些有用的数字:

过去的5年,全球的黄金产量非常稳定在 2500吨/年 到 2700吨/年之间。 

1) 在2013年散户吞下3,864吨,

2) 中银在2013年独吞622吨, 其他中央银行369吨

3) ETF基金倒吐,在2013年卖出 881 吨黄金。


不难发现 2013年的黄金需求在5,000以上, 包括工业用途的400吨左右。

如果黄金价格在1400以下, 2014年的需求也不小, 起码有4,000吨以上。

2013年有ETF基金的881吨和大银行的抛空为贡献,加上黄金产量马虎可以满足需求。

3014年还有ETF基金的881吨吗? 难! 其实ETF基金在偷偷的买进黄金。

总之短期黄金在熊牛搏斗,中期好看。


======================

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/talking-numbers/why-the-rally-in-gold-could-be-short-lived-141307450.html
Why the rally in gold could be short lived
    

John Stephenson, portfolio manager at First Asset Investment Management and author of “The Little Book of Commodity Investing”, agrees with Pytlar’s long-term negative view.”

While Stephenson notes the People's Bank of China purchased over 622 tons of gold last year, assets under management for gold exchange-traded funds were down.

===================

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-two-gold-forecasters-remain-000100317.html
Top Two Gold Forecasters Remain Bearish After 2014 Rally

Though purchases of gold by central banks fell by nearly a third to 369 tonnes, it was the fourth consecutive year that net demand in the sector was positive. The WGC expects more central bank buying in 2014.

====================

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/net-gold-demand-slid-15-131256798.html

Gold demand falls 15% in 2013

LONDON, Feb 18 (Reuters) - Net gold demand fell 15 percent in 2013 as huge outflows from physically backed investment funds outweighed record consumer demand but that disinvestment is tailing off this year, the World Gold Council said on Tuesday.

Massive liquidation of bullion-backed exchange-traded funds returned 881 tonnes of gold to the market last year, part of a 51-percent slump in investment demand to 773.3 tonnes, the WGC said, citing data from Thomson Reuters GFMS.

The World Gold Council, an industry lobby group, said in a report on Tuesday that demand in 2013 decreased to 3,756 tonnes. Demand between the three months to December dropped to 858 tonnes, down 29 per cent from a year earlier and the lowest since the second quarter of 2009.

But demand from consumers soared by 21 per cent to a new high of 3,864 tonnes. Jewellery recorded its largest volume increase since 1997, while demand for coins and small gold bars jumped 28 per cent.


===============

过去的5年,全球的黄金产量非常稳定在 2500吨/年 到 2700吨/年之间。 动不动就3864吨,不是小数字。 



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    黄金跌不下,每天都涨一丁点 - eachus 02/25/14 (563)
      最新的资料,自己看 - eachus 02/26/14 (572)
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