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辣味:启动欧盟印刷机!它是唯一的方法保存欧元区
送交者: eachus 2012月05月17日07:59:15 于 [世界股票论坛] 发送悄悄话
回  答: 欧洲一片腥风血雨 eachus 于 2012-05-15 21:25:15
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/fire-euro-printing-presses-only-way-save-euro-115951773.html

启动欧盟印刷机!


约翰·莫尔丁,“牛
投资小册”有一个消息,德国和欧洲中央银行的直言不讳:“如果你想保持联盟一起,我们要必须有通胀”

“希腊将离开,他们别无选择,”他指出,增加的成本的Grexit是不是不可知的,但解决的办法。

欧洲央行将只需做不惜一切代价,即使这意味着印刷“兆+兆(万亿)欧元。”当然,这种行动将导致通货膨胀,但欧元是多货币在这一点上的概念,文件的合法性,只有通过时间和战斗。

这已经是一个历史性的崛起,这不是我们的货币,他们摧毁,这是他们(欧元)。这不是一个鲁莽的看法,但实用主义承担。

直到联盟生存重大危机与有秩序的权力转移,它会仍然只是一个想法,在那一个坏主意。印钞票未必解决方案,但它可以防止崩溃,继续打击通胀是等于直接自杀。



John Mauldin, outspoken author of "The Little Book of Bull's Eye Investing" has one message for Germany and the European Central Bank: "If you want to keep the Union together we're going to have to have inflation."

The goal isn't to spend forever; just long enough to get through the Spain's elections in three years. Yes, Spain. In Mauldin's mind the departure of Greece, now officially dubbed "the Grexit," is a foregone conclusion.

"Greece will leave; they have no choice," he states, adding that the cost of the Grexit isn't unknowable, but the solution is.

The ECB will simply have to do whatever it takes, even if that means printing "trillions and trillions and trillions of Euro." Of course such actions will lead to inflation but there are few, if any, alternatives. Besides which the Euro is more concept than currency at this point; legitimacy of the paper will only come through time and battle.

A right-leaning patriot, Mauldin thinks America ought to be cheering for ECB printing. It strengthens the dollar, which is already on a historic rise, and it's not our currency they're destroying; it's theirs (EUR=). It's not a reckless view but one borne of pragmatism.

More than 2/3 of European voters have said no to austerity already. The current path makes destruction of the entire EU a certainty. "Something else" is the solution.

The goal of printing Euros to buy Mariano Rajoy and his Popular Party time to "get it together in Spain." The Popular Party was swept into power last November, symbolizing an angry reaction to greater than 20% unemployment rate there. With Greece gone and the French seemingly giving up on austerity by ousting Sarkozy, the PP could be the first of the new breed to actually hold serve in the latest European economic crisis.

Until the Union survives a major crisis with an orderly shift of power it'll remain just an idea; and a bad idea at that. Printing money may not be the solution but it can forestall the collapse, continuing to fight inflation is tantamount to immediate suicide.

"If the ECB comes up and says 'we're not printing' then short everything over there," says Mauldin conclusively. Shorting may be the best trade regardless, but at least the payoff can be delayed.




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