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I share your concerns.
送交者: 电子邮箱 2009月12月04日15:47:28 于 [世界股票论坛] 发送悄悄话
回  答: Short BARRICK GOLD 电子邮箱 于 2009-12-04 13:59:23

I short ABX.TO without anticipating so many funny things happened today. ABX removed his hedge position on Tuesday which exposes itself to the SHORT.

I expected unemployment would be bottomed between November and Jan/Feb. I also expected USD will jump by the end of this year due to this. I mentioned this a few months ago.

Unemployment recovery may be a U shaped one which may be characterized with an initial quick recover followed by a slow follow-through. Gold would suffer the most among gold, commodities and oil. The other two may be shocked initially or not at all.

Again, this is for the short term play with risks going either way. ISM did not look as bad as the number, so I made a small bet on Wednesday. Employments always look better for November and December due to seasonal hiring.

I also bet on BJ today with a long position, hoping Santa Clause bought all the goods for gifts.

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  若停止印钱,金子有个能回落  /无内容 - bubble 12/04/09 (286)
      要不了下个月。下周就没机会了。随时都会平了。 - 电子邮箱 12/04/09 (316)
        一般人不太留意“不相关性”。  /无内容 - 电子邮箱 12/04/09 (275)
  Sorry, wrong place. - 电子邮箱 12/04/09 (271)
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