| 今天有坏消息也有好消息,但老道担心9-10月会有大变动。 |
| 送交者: 道友 2009月08月13日14:37:18 于 [世界股票论坛] 发送悄悄话 |
| 回 答: 道兄,今天市场在不好报告下还撑在这里,不知有何看法? 心里也在打鼓. 由 wizard 于 2009-08-13 14:16:11 |
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今天房贷,就业报告和零售给出坏消息,但库存降低,30廿国债卖的不错。不过9-10月可能会有大变动,股市或美元是不是会不共戴天啊?
Wall Street's major indexes wavered Thursday but held on to their gains from the big rally that followed the Federal Reserve's upbeat comments one day earlier. Financial, technology and energy companies were among the big winners, while stocks in defensive, or relatively safer, industries like health care and utilities fell. Retailers declined after a worse-than-expected report on retail sales. Meanwhile, Treasury prices rose after the government had a successful auction of 30-year bonds. The Treasury Department issued a total of $75 billion of debt this week as part of its ongoing efforts to fund the government's stimulus programs, and investors were relieved that the market was able to absorb such a huge supply. Wall Street's showing Thursday was a sign of the market's strength in the day's economic reports that suggested the economic recovery could be slowed by a weak consumer. Investors seemed to look past the latest news and focus on the Fed's more upbeat assessment of the economy. Stocks soared Wednesday after the Fed reassured investors that the economy was "leveling out," not just easing its decline. "I think investors are prepared to give the economy some time to show a strong improvement," said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC World Markets. Among the day's reports, the Commerce Department said retail sales fell 0.1 percent in July, significantly worse than the 0.7 percent increase economists expected. Retail sales are considered a strong indicator of economic recovery because consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of all economic activity. A weekly report on unemployment also came in worse than projected. The Labor Department said the number of newly laid-off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits rose unexpectedly to a seasonally adjusted 558,000, from 554,000 the previous week. Analysts were expecting new claims to drop to 545,000. In midafternoon trading, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 6.12, or 0.1 percent, to 9,355.49 after rising 120 Wednesday in response to the Fed's statement. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 1.94, or 0.2 percent, to 1,007.75, while the Nasdaq composite index rose 3.90, or 0.2 percent, to 2,002.62. In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 0.71, or 0.1 percent, to 572.88. More than three stocks rose for every two that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to a very light 294.9 million shares. Financial stocks led the day's gains, buoyed by news that the hedge fund run by John Paulson bought about 168 million shares of Bank of America Corp. Paulson foresaw the distress in subprime mortgages and reaped billions by betting against the related securities, so his purchases of Bank of America stock are seen as a vote of confidence in the bank's future. "He gives a lot of credibility because he certainly saw the danger on the credit side," said Anton Schutz, portfolio manager of Burnham Financial Industries Fund and Burnham Financial Services Fund. Bank of America rose 79 cents, or 5 percent, to $16.72. Regional banks also rose significantly after tumbling earlier in the week on downbeat comments from an analyst that raised doubts about some banks' ability to improve their earnings in the second half of the year. Texas Instruments Inc. rose 55 cents, or 2.3 percent, to $24.43 after an analyst upgraded the stock. That helped lift other technology stocks. Shares of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. rose $1.20, or 2.4 percent, to $51.71 after the world's largest retailer reported better-than-expected second quarter earnings. Wal-Mart also raised the low end of its profit guidance, saying it expects shoppers to continue to be attracted by its low-priced items. Other retailers were mixed following the government's weak sales report. J.C. Penney & Co. dropped more than 2 percent, falling 72 cents to $32.49, while Best Buy Co. rose 31 cents to $36.81. Another government report showed businesses reduced inventories for a 10th straight month in June, although total business sales posted the first increase in nearly a year. Investors have sent stocks soaring the past few weeks as improving corporate profits and signs of life in the troubled housing industry gave the market hope that the economy is healing. The Fed's comments on Wednesday affirmed for investors that their recent bets had been warranted. The S&P 500 index has risen 14.4 percent in little more than a month and 48.7 percent since it fell to a 12-year low in early March. Treasurys rose higher after the successful auction of 30-year bonds. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.61 percent from 3.72 percent late Wednesday. The dollar fell against other major currencies, while gold prices rose. Light, sweet crude rose 95 cents to $71.11 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Asian markets rose after the Fed's statement, while European markets were boosted by new data showing recessions have ended in Germany and France. Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 0.8 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumped 2.1 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 gained 0.8 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.0 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 0.5 percent. |
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