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回看1970展望2070伊斯兰世界永生上海消失
送交者:  2020年01月01日10:35:31 于 [世界时事论坛] 发送悄悄话

 回看50年前1970 展望21世纪灿烂神奇的70年代 ——

 伊斯兰教徒治下的世界 人类早已永生 

 全球平均气温上升4° 

 数百座城市包括上海被海水淹没消失 

 世界人口102.77亿 伸向太空的天梯胜利建成


迎接伟大的七十年代

   

         迎接伟大的七十年代


    《人民日报》、《红旗》杂志、《解放军报》

                          一九七〇年元旦社论

 

  二十世纪六十年代过去了。全世界无产阶级和革命人民,以豪迈的战斗步伐,跨进了伟大的七十年代。

  放眼全球,展望未来,我国各族人民心潮澎湃,衷心祝愿我们的伟大领袖、无产阶级的革命导师毛主席万寿无疆!

  六十年代初期,毛主席曾经高瞻远瞩地指出:“从现在起,五十年内外到一百年内外,是世界上社会制度彻底变化的伟大时代,是一个翻天覆地的时代,是过去任何一个历史时代都不能比拟的。”六十年代的历史,雄辩地证实了毛主席这一伟大的预言。

  过去的十年,是敌人一天天烂下去,我们一天天好起来的十年;是马克思主义、列宁主义、毛泽东思想同现代修正主义公开论战,激烈搏斗,取得伟大胜利的十年;是全世界革命人民反对以美国为首的帝国主义、以苏修为中心的现代修正主义和各国反动派的伟大斗争蓬勃发展的十年。

  在这十年中,无产阶级和广大人民群众的革命运动,在新的条件下,以排山倒海之势,雷霆万钧之力,磅礴于全世界。民族解放运动一浪高一浪地向前推进,革命的马克思列宁主义政党和组织在斗争中日益发展。资本主义无可挽救地没落下去,社会主义不可阻挡地兴盛起来。伟大的社会主义中国,象巨人一样屹立在世界的东方。欧洲的社会主义明灯阿尔巴尼亚,放射出更加灿烂的光辉。英雄的越南人民的铁拳,把美帝国主义打得焦头烂额。毛主席“枪杆子里面出政权”的伟大真理,越来越广阔地鼓舞着亚、非、拉地区人民的武装斗争。帝国主义殖民体系的堤坝,一块一块地塌了下来。漫天的革命烽火已经燃烧到帝国主义的“心脏”地区。震撼西方的财政金融危机,日益严重、日益深化的经济危机,使资本主义经济更加病入膏肓。


   旧世界风雨飘摇,

   一座座火山爆发,

   一顶顶王冠落地。

   在整个地球上,

   再也找不到一块帝国主义的“安定的绿洲”了。


  第二次世界大战以后爬上世界资本主义霸主地位的美帝国主义,没有过多久就从它的顶峰跌落下来。它扩军备战,到处侵略,到处建立军事基地,把一根根绞索套在自己的脖子上,被全世界人民越勒越紧了。自称世界“最富有”的美国,数以千万计的人民越来越贫困和饥饿。美国无产阶级以及广大人民反对垄断资本集团的斗争和美国黑人的抗暴斗争,使美国反动统治者惶惶不可终日。一任任的白宫主子,找不出一付挽救美帝国主义衰落的灵丹妙药。曾经吹嘘二十世纪是“美国世纪”的华尔街老板们,无可奈何地哀叹美国进入了“困难的年代”。美帝国主义的急剧没落,突出地表明资本主义制度已经走上极其深刻的、新的总危机。

  现代修正主义的中心——苏修叛徒集团加速走向彻底破产。自以为不可一世的跳梁小丑赫鲁晓夫,曾几何时,变成了不齿于人类的渣滓。他的继承者勃列日涅夫之流,更是一代不如一代,一年不如一年,陷入了内外交困的重重危机。他们对内实行法西斯专政,对外侵略扩张,彻底暴露了社会帝国主义的面目,激起了苏联人民和各国人民越来越强烈的反抗。苏修社会帝国主义的出现,不过是帝国主义走向全面崩溃过程中的一个插曲。它既不能挽救整个帝国主义制度的覆灭,也不能挽救它自己的灭亡。所谓“勃列日涅夫主义”,归根结底,不过是垂死的新殖民主义的变种而已。

  同帝国主义、社会帝国主义一片衰微破败的景象相反,在伟大领袖毛主席领导下,社会主义中国更加巩固,更加繁荣,更加壮大,更加朝气蓬勃。毛主席亲自领导我们党,同全世界马克思列宁主义者一道展开的对现代修正主义的大论战,从思想上、理论上和政治上为世界无产阶级革命的更大胜利准备了条件。毛主席亲自发动和亲自领导的无产阶级文化大革命的胜利,粉碎了帝国主义和修正主义在中国复辟资本主义的梦想,在国际共产主义运动史上,开辟了一条巩固无产阶级专政、将社会主义革命进行到底的光明大道。伟大的毛泽东思想在七亿人民中空前大普及。中国共产党第九次全国代表大会的深远历史影响,正在越来越充分

地显示出来。我们伟大的社会主义祖国成为当代反帝反修的强大的政治力量,成为各国无产阶级、被压迫人民和被压迫民族最可靠的朋友,成为世界革命的希望。

  人民,只有人民,才是创造世界历史的动力。经过六十年代的大动荡、大分化、大改组,世界的革命力量壮大了,阶级阵线分明了。世界基本矛盾的新发展,必然要继续引起革命。七十年代,将是人民革命风暴在全世界更大兴起的年代,将是帝国主义在重重矛盾中加速崩溃的年代,将是全世界革命势力同垂死挣扎的反革命势力进行剧烈搏斗的重要的年代。

不管美帝、苏修怎样互相勾结、互相争夺势力范围,

不管它们施展多少阴谋诡计,发动什么样的侵略战争,

都逃脱不了注定灭亡的命运。它们的日子不会太长了。

都逃脱不了注定灭亡的命运。它们的日子不会太长了。

都逃脱不了注定灭亡的命运。它们的日子不会太长了。


  毛主席教导我们:中国应当对于人类有较大的贡献。在伟大领袖毛主席的领导下,我们伟大的党,伟大的人民,伟大的国家,伟大的军队,一定能够完成历史赋予我们的光荣使命,一定不会辜负世界人民寄予我们的希望。新的一年里,全党、全军、全国人民要更加紧密地团结在以毛主席为首、林副主席为副的党中央的周围,进一步用毛泽东思想武装起来,用毛主席关于“提高警惕,保卫祖国”,“备战、备荒、为人民”的伟大战略思想推动斗、批、改,检查斗、批、改,戒骄戒躁,更好更快地完成党的“九大”提出的各项战斗任务。

  当前,斗、批、改的群众运动,正在各条战线深入发展。毛主席提出的各项无产阶级政策,正在进一步全面落实。具有无限生命力的无产阶级新事物到处出现。我们要把活学活用毛泽东思想的伟大群众运动,同斗、批、改各项工作结合起来。要紧紧抓住两个阶级、两条道路、两条路线斗争这个纲,把巩固无产阶级专政的根本任务落实到各个基层。要继续开展革命大批判,肃清叛徒、内奸、工贼刘少奇的反革命修正主义路线的余毒。要在思想文化领域里高举毛泽东思想伟大红旗,继续清除资产阶级和一切剥削阶级的思想影响;在政治领域中按照党的政策做好清理阶级队伍的工作,加强对一小撮反革命势力的专政;在经济领域中巩固和发展社会主义经济基础,有步骤地打击资产阶级的腐蚀和破坏。要把教育、科研、文艺、新闻、卫生等方面的革命坚持下去,深入下去,取得新的成果和新的经验。

  毛主席在“九大”期间一再指出:“一定要抓好典型。”“面上的工作要先抓好三分之一。”我们要坚决执行毛主席这个极其重要的指示,全面规划,分期分批地、深入细致地、积极而又慎重地做好斗、批、改的各项工作。

  在清理阶级队伍的基础上,要抓紧整党建党。用毛主席关于无产阶级专政下继续革命的伟大理论建设我们的党,是发展无产阶级文化大革命伟大胜利的根本保证,是进一步巩固无产阶级专政的百年大计。在整党建党中,自始至终都要把思想整顿放在首位,认真地学习新党章,对党员和要求入党的积极分子,认真地进行马克思主义、列宁主义、毛泽东思想关于党的学说的教育,进行关于领袖、政党、政权、阶级、群众相互关系学说的教育,批判各种右的或极“左”的资产阶级反动思潮。要正确地做好“吐故纳新”的工作。每一个共产党员,都要以毛主席的指示和新党章的各项规定对照自己,彻底改造世界观。

  随着斗、批、改的深入发展,一个工农业生产的新高潮正在出现。各级领导要站在群众运动的前面,全面地贯彻执行毛主席提出的“鼓足干劲,力争上游,多快好省地建设社会主义”的总路线和“抓革命、促生产、促工作、促战备”的伟大指示,使运动沿着毛泽东思想的轨道深入地、持久地向前发展。只要充分发挥工人阶级、贫下中农和革命知识分子的积极性,团结一切可以团结的力量,充分发挥社会主义制度的优越性,我国工农业生产和科学技术,就能够赶上和超过世界先进水平。要把毛主席提出的“自力更生”、“艰苦奋斗”的方针,落实到每一个省、每一个县、每一个基层单位、每一项事业。要注意调查研究经济工作

中各项政策性的问题。订计划必须发动群众,注意留有充分的余地。

  毛主席最近指出:“全世界人民团结起来,反对任何帝国主义,社会帝国主义发动的侵略战争,特别要反对以原子弹为武器的侵略战争!如果这种战争发生,全世界人民就应以革命战争消灭侵略战争,从现在起就要有所准备!”

  毛主席这个伟大指示,以马克思列宁主义的远见,向全世界人民指出了斗争的方向,具有深远的历史意义和现实意义。帝国主义就是战争。全世界人民一定要百倍提高革命警惕!全中国人民一定要百倍提高革命警惕!我们要从精神上、物质上作好充分准备。要加强党的一元化领导。各级领导机关要在思想上、组织上、作风上进一步实现无产阶级革命化,精兵简政,以适应战备的需要。要巩固和完善各级革命委员会,继续加强革命的大联合和革命的三结合,团结起来,共同对敌。要加强军民团结和军政团结。中国人民解放军要继续发扬光荣的革命传统和全心全意为人民服务的精神,继续做好“三支”“两军”工作,在政治上、

军事上都要更进一步提高,坚持突出无产阶级政治,全面落实四好,加强战斗力,随时准备为保卫伟大社会主义祖国立新功。

  同一切国家在和平共处五项原则的基础上发展外交关系,这是我们长期以来的一贯政策,但是我们决不能容忍任何帝国主义、社会帝国主义侵占我国神圣领土。我们一定要解放祖国的神圣领土台湾!如果帝国主义、社会帝国主义敢于侵犯我国,我们就坚决把他们葬身在人民战争的汪洋大海之中!

  革命在发展,人民在前进。一个没有帝国主义、没有资本主义、没有剥削制度的新世界的曙光就在前头。全世界无产者联合起来,全世界无产阶级和被压迫人民、被压迫民族联合起来,下定决心,不怕牺牲,排除万难,去争取胜利!

  伟大的、光荣的、正确的中国共产党万岁!

  战无不胜的马克思主义、列宁主义、毛泽东思想万岁!

  我们伟大的领袖毛主席万岁!万万岁!


Image result for 费里德曼 未来100年

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Giving Futurism a Bad Name

  

  中国因一个钱字而凝聚 亦会因一个钱字而分裂:


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  视频链接:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-8KV_GurLY

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按住光标 高速扫描以下英文内容

2070

Islam is the world's dominant religion

By 2070, Islam has overtaken Christianity to become the dominant religion.* More than a quarter of the world's population was Muslim by the 2020s* and this growth continued in subsequent decades. Most of the increase has occurred in sub-Saharan Africa with its high fertility rates, although these are beginning to stabilise now.* While the numbers of non-religious have continued to increase, when measured as a percentage of the global population their share has declined from 16.4% in 2010, to 13.2% in 2050 and less than 12% in 2070. Christians and Muslims each comprise about 32.3% by 2070, with Christians set to reach 33.8% and Muslims 34.9% by 2100.* India has overtaken Indonesia as the country with the largest number of Muslims – though India's even larger population of Hindus continue to outnumber Muslims in the region.*

 

Islam 2070 future religion
© Aiconimage | Dreamstime.com

 

 

Global average temperatures have risen by 4°C*

Vast stores of methane, released from melting permafrost, have triggered an abrupt change in the Earth's climate.* The atmosphere has now shifted to pre-glacial/interglacial conditions which last prevailed over 34 million years ago.* CO2 levels have reached almost 700 parts per million – two and a half times pre-industrial levels.** This has resulted in a global average temperature increase of 4°C, with the Arctic region seeing rises as high as 15°C.*

In many parts of the world, the limits for human adaptation are being exceeded.* Despite attempts to share food and resources between nations – and to accommodate the surge in refugee numbers – the sheer scale of this disaster is presenting enormous challenges, even with the technological base of the 2070s.

The use of heavily modified GM crops, hydroponics, desalination and other techniques have allowed some regions to maintain a degree of stability. Nanofabricators are also being utilised in the more advanced societies.

For many others, however, it's becoming impossible to sustain any kind of agriculture at all, due to the water loss,* soil depletion and other environmental impacts now being experienced.** The intensity of freak weather events has increased dramatically, with hurricanes and severe storms, extreme flooding and droughts becoming widespread. A number of countries near the equator have been abandoned, their people scattered. City-scale flooding disasters are now commonplace* as sea levels have risen a full metre,* sweeping away trillions of dollars' worth of real estate.

The number of displaced persons is overwhelming the ability of international organisations and governments to cope. Although many refugees are surviving and resettling in higher or lower latitudes, even greater numbers are unable to complete the journey, or are denied border entry, resulting in alarming numbers of deaths from hunger, conflict and adverse environmental conditions. Traditional free market capitalism is facing enormous pressures and upheaval, as civilisation struggles to adapt to this new and rapidly changing world. Resource-based economies are evolving to take its place.**

For too long, humans exploited their environment with little appreciation of long-term consequences. Nature is finally beginning to redress the balance.

 

global warming timeline 2050 2070 2075 2100 future temperature scenario trend graph

 

 

Fusion power is widespread

Most leading countries now have at least one fusion plant either commercially operational, or in the process of construction.* These reactors offer a clean, safe and abundant supply of energy.

 

fusion power 2070

 

 

Fully automated homes

Buildings in developed nations have become highly automated and self-sufficient. In addition to robots, a typical new home now includes the following:

A localised power supply. Energy can be generated by the building itself, via a combination of photovoltaics and piezoelectric materials. Walls, roofs and windows can absorb almost all wavelengths of light from the Sun with organic solar technology, turning it into heat and electricity. Friction generated by the occupant's footsteps – and various other kinetic processes – can also produce energy. This is converted and stored in any number of ways, from hydrogen to batteries. In countries where sunlight is less frequent, microturbines may be used in place of solar.

On-site water production and waste management. Rain is captured by external guttering, then stored and converted into drinking water using nanofiltration systems. This is especially useful in regions prone to drought (which includes a substantial portion of the world by this time). If local water is in short supply, houses can serve as miniature reservoirs and filtration systems. Meanwhile, plastics and other kitchen waste can be placed in recycling machines, ground into extremely fine powder, then later re-used in nanofabricators.

A multi-layered building envelope which provides a variety of dynamic effects. Windows can self-adjust their size and position – as well as their opacity – to optimise the level of natural light. In some of the more upmarket properties, the entire façade can morph its texture and appearance. Depending on the tastes of the occupant, this could transform into an art deco style, a classic Victorian building, or something entirely different. This form of "programmable matter" can even be designed by the occupant themselves and changed on demand.

Air purification systems. Air within the home is kept fresh, purified and completely free of dust and microbes.

Interactive surfaces. Holographic generators cover the whole interior of the property – including walls, doors, worktop surfaces, mirrors and shower cubicles. These intelligent surfaces can track the position of the occupant and display information whenever and wherever necessary. A person can read emails, see news reports and access the online world using virtually any surface in the house as a touch screen or mind control interface.* Detailed, real-time information on their health, personal lifestyle and daily schedules can also be displayed. This system has a variety of other functions, e.g. it can be used to locate personal items which may have been misplaced.

Intelligent/self-maintaining appliances. Appliances that don't repair or maintain themselves in some way have become largely obsolete by now. It is very rare for a human engineer to be called to the house.

A modest size. The world is becoming an ever more crowded place, with available land continuing to shrink due to overpopulation and environmental decline. In city centres, apartments tend to be highly minimalist and compact, with small footprints utilising every inch of space. Full immersion virtual reality is one method of adapting to this. Another is flexible room layouts that reconfigure themselves on demand. In earlier decades, this was achieved in some homes by using a sliding wall system.* Today, it can be done with morphable materials.

 

future home 2020 2050 2100 house building technology automated
© Sellingpix | Dreamstime.com

 

 

Five-year survival rates for liver cancer are approaching 100%

In the early 21st century, liver cancer was the third most common cancer death in the world. Nearly 700,000 people died from the disease in 2008, accounting for 9% of all cancer deaths. Major risk factors included chronic infection with hepatitis B and C (accounting for 54% and 31% of cases, respectively), consumption of foods contaminated with aflatoxin, and heavy alcohol consumption. It was nearly three times more common in men than in women.

In 2009, Japanese researchers began efforts to map the complete genome of liver cancer.* This paved the way for blood tests to spot tumours earlier, whilst also yielding new drug targets. The increasing use of nanoparticle carriers – and eventually nanobots giving precise control and delivery of drugs – also greatly improved survival rates.

Despite the global chaos unfolding at this point in history, scientific knowledge continues to advance incrementally. By 2070, five-year survival rates for liver cancer are reaching 100% in many countries.**

 

future treatments liver cancer five year survival rate

 


 

2072

Advanced nanotech clothing

Fifty years have passed since the mainstream appearance of nanotech clothing. During that time it has made extraordinary improvements in utility, power and sophistication. Modern fabrics have built upon the abilities of previous generations, perfecting many of the technologies involved. Today, a complex blend of nanotechnology, biotechnology, claytronics, metamaterials and other components has yielded a type of clothing previously confined to the realm of science fiction. Though mostly restricted to specialised personnel, government forces and the elite, a number of these suits are finding their way into the mainstream.

Construction via self-assembling nanotechnology has been around for a number of decades. Until now, the process was only practical using bulky and/or conspicuous machinery, nanofabricators, or objects suspended in tanks of catalytic fluids.* However, recent advances in nanorobotics have allowed for more subtle and rapid construction of macro-scale objects in a more compact form-factor and with less impact on Earth's natural resources. As happened with early nanotech adoption in the 2020s, one of the easiest and most common applications has been in fabrics. Today, a high-end home "closet" may consist of simply a thin surface or pad built into the wall or floor, concealing a mass of nanobots and molecular building materials. A user can stand on or touch this surface and issue instructions to the machine (through voice command or virtual telepathy) for what to create. Each nanobot is then programmed with the final clothing design and set into motion.

The process begins with each nanobot organising and categorising each building molecule, based on the aggregate material needed and where each piece will be located in the finished product. The nanobots – also called "foglets" – then begin interlocking with themselves, forming a basic "skeleton" on which building molecules can be attached.*

As more and more nanobots and molecules are added on, thousands of individual fibres begin to form out of the machine's surface. These grow up and around the person's body, crossing each other to create a weave pattern, before finally taking the shape of traditional clothing. The result is a basic structure around which nanobots then construct the more advanced and customised features. Depending on the outfit's function, the original fibres can be interlaced with photovoltaics, piezoelectric nanowire, carbon nanotubes, metamaterials, claytronics or any number of other useful materials. Tiny electronic devices can be added for communication or medical purposes. This whole process is completed in a matter of seconds.

With such detail and control, fabric of this nature confers the wearer an array of conveniences. In earlier decades, this technology was limited to relatively simple functions, like colour and texture modifications.* Today, it is almost indistinguishable from magic. Complete wardrobes are no longer necessary, since one garment performs the function of many, transforming into an endless variety of styles and shapes. Most outfits are self-cleaning, self-fragrancing and rarely if ever need to be washed.** They can instantly adjust themselves in emergencies – becoming harder than steel to stop a knife or bullet; cushion-like in the event of accidents or falls. If a person is injured, the fabric can administer life-saving drugs and medical nanobots, or contract to seal a wound.* A drowning person can be made safe. Fire-fighters and other rescue workers are completely protected from hazards such as fire or radiation. This is also useful in space, protecting people from sudden changes in air pressure, micrometeorites, cosmic rays and other hazards. Medical devices included in these outfits monitor for disease at all times, catching the earliest signs of cancer or infection and alerting the wearer before any damage is done.* Whatever power is needed for the various functions is supplied by a combination of piezoelectric and photovoltaic components embedded throughout the clothing material.

Some of these aforementioned comforts had already been available in earlier decades, but were simpler and fewer – usually limited to just one, or a small number within each item of clothing. Today, however, all of them can be fully integrated and combined together into a single suit, created and maintained via swarms of intelligent foglets. As this technology evolves further, it becomes a permanent part of some peoples' physiology, almost like a second skin.*

 

Click to view animation

future clothing 2050 2070 technology

 

 

Picotechnology is becoming practical

Technology on the scale of trillionths of a metre (10-12) is becoming practical now.* Known as "picotechnology", this is orders of magnitude smaller than nanotechnology of earlier decades.* Among other applications, it allows the structure and properties of individual atoms to be altered via manipulation of energy states within electrons. This can produce metastable states with highly unusual properties, creating new and exotic forms of matter.

 

picotechnology 2072

 


 

2073

Plastic recycling rates are approaching 100% worldwide

By the early 2070s, plastic recycling is ubiquitous globally. Although some of the most rural and isolated areas still lack the required infrastructure and facilities, they now represent a negligible percentage.

Belgian chemist Leo Baekeland invented the world's first synthetic plastic, Bakelite, in 1907. Improvements in chemical technology led to an explosion of new types of plastic, with mainstream adoption beginning in the 1940s and 50s. Production expanded at a phenomenal rate during the second half of the 20th century – from two million tons annually in 1950, to more than 200 million tons each year by 2000. With no end in sight to this upward trajectory and in light of concerns over its slow decomposition after disposal, as well as its toxicity, recycling emerged as a solution from the 1980s onwards. This was more environmentally friendly than incineration, or waste-to-energy methods, which had also begun some years before.

However, even with both recycling and waste-to-energy systems in place, handling the mountains of plastic waste generated each year was proving to be a formidable challenge. Researchers noted the appearance of a "Great Pacific garbage patch", a gyre of marine debris in the north central Pacific Ocean estimated to contain over 1.8 trillion plastic fragments. By the early 21st century, this was having a substantial impact on seabirds, fish and other life in the food chain with implications for human health too. In 2019, plastic even appeared at the bottom of the Mariana Trench, during a deep ocean expedition. Scientists calculated that plastic waste could exceed fish biomass by 2050, unless major international efforts reversed this trend.

More ominously, plastic pollution was found to harm the growth, photosynthesis and oxygen production of Prochlorococcus – the ocean's most abundant photosynthetic bacteria – responsible for 10% of oxygen breathed by humans.

This bleak picture was reinforced by wildlife television documentaries, such as those narrated by the popular naturalist David Attenborough, broadcasting the uncomfortable reality to millions of viewers. The public was becoming more and more awake to the scale and urgency of this crisis.

Recycling proved to be surprisingly popular, with a growing number of countries willing to introduce policies. In addition to routine collections of household waste by local governments, more ambitious measures were being adopted at regional and national levels. Gradually, the percentage of discarded plastic began to fall, while the recycled proportion increased. This trend continued through the 21st century.*

 

plastic recycling future 2050

 

Japan was among the world leaders in plastic recycling. Its plastic waste utilisation rate increased from 39% in 1996, to 73% in 2006 and then 90% by the end of the 2010s. This figure approached 100% by the mid-2020s, making Japan one of the first nations to recycle essentially all of its plastic waste. Key to Japan's success was the passing of several recycling laws from the late 1990s onwards, mandating businesses and consumers to separate plastic waste, along with public awareness and education campaigns on the benefits of recycling. This occurred in response to a shortage of landfill space, with Japan being a relatively crowded nation of high population density. New technology also helped to convert an increasingly wide range of waste products into reusable items, such as PET bottles.

European Union (EU) member states were making progress too, with more than 40% of their plastic packaging waste recycled in 2016, easily surpassing the EU's minimum target of 22.5%. Among EU member states, the Czech Republic ranked on the top with a recycling rate of 51% in 2014, followed closely by Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and Ireland. The European Circular Economy Package (CEP) targets were set at 50% by 2025 and 55% by 2030 – alongside a goal of 100% for packaging, specifically – with a ban on various other single-use products made of plastic where alternatives existed.*

In the UK, charges were introduced for plastic carrier bags, leading to a nearly 90% drop in single-use bags. The manufacture and sale of cosmetics and personal care products with microbeads (solid plastic particles of less than a millimetre in their largest dimension) was banned, followed by plastic straws and cotton buds. Dozens of companies, including supermarket giant Asda, signed up to the UK Plastics Pact aiming to cut plastic pollution by 2025. Meanwhile, the government pledged to eradicate all "avoidable" plastic waste throughout the country by 2042.*

In the United States, no federal law existed to mandate recycling, with state and local governments introducing their own requirements. Only around 10% of plastic was recycled as of 2020, but a long-term plan by the American Chemistry Council proposed 100% of plastics packaging to be re-used, recycled or recovered by 2040. To achieve this, plastic resin producers would focus on six key areas: designing new products for greater efficiency, recycling and reuse; developing new technologies and systems for collecting, sorting, recycling and recovering materials; making it easier for more consumers to participate in recycling and recovery programs; expanding the types of plastics collected and repurposed; aligning products with key end markets; and expanding awareness that used plastics are valuable resources awaiting their next use.

With increasing pressure from both consumers and governments, hundreds of the world's leading packaging brands committed to ensure that 100% of their plastic packaging could be reused, recycled or composted by 2025.* This momentum was sustained into the 2030s and beyond, spreading to recently developed economies with higher incomes, now able to afford the necessary waste management infrastructure. Regions in Africa, the Middle East and Southeast Asia were rapidly catching up with the West, and viewed environmental protection as a higher priority than before. In the 2010s, some had already begun to turn away foreign waste shipments, dumped on them from far away.**

An increase in public recycling bins, plastic bottle banks, reverse vending machines (with voucher or cash incentives), office workplace recycling schemes and other such measures all contributed to the ongoing, upward trend in global recycling. At the same time, new production methods were allowing bioplastics to be manufactured without the need for fossil fuels and to biodegrade easily. Thanks to advances in science and technology, this was becoming possible even for some types of plastic that had traditionally been regarded as extremely difficult to break down, convert and reuse. Automation, robotics, AI and machine learning helped to improve the filtering and sorting capabilities at waste treatment plants. However, even low-tech solutions were able to combat the plastic problem: supermarkets in Thailand and Vietnam, for example, used banana leaves as a packaging alternative.* By 2050, most countries had either substantially reduced or even eliminated plastic entering landfills.

This left the problem of incineration, which had grown in parallel with recycling at a similar rate during the late 20th and early 21st century. New regulations and international treaties to restrict emissions from plastic incineration were combining with even greater improvements in waste collection and separation. This led to the percentage of recycled plastic overtaking that of incinerated material. Networks of orbiting satellites – equipped with powerful sensors and ultra-high resolution and zoom capabilities – kept a watchful eye on ground activities, to monitor emissions and ensure compliance. Gradually, plastic waste incineration disappeared from both developed and developing countries as the economic, social and environmental benefits made more and more sense.*

Other advances have emerged in recent years. Among them are a new generation of domestic appliances for dealing with household waste, now able to deconstruct and recycle a seemingly infinite variety of plastic products. Inexpensive, compact and easy to use, these are typically desktop machines in the same form-factor as a 3D printer, offering the dual functions of assembly and disassembly. As well as being popular in the home, they are found in many public venues and workplaces. Alongside these high-tech machines are regular drone and robotic patrols in towns and cities, which can identify and pick up discarded litter – often within a matter of minutes. The world of 2073 is a cleaner and tidier place.

Challenges remain outside human-inhabited areas, however. The world's oceans, for example, remain in a dire state, being much more difficult to access and taking longer to restore. Those fragments of plastic that lie undiscovered will persist in ecosystems for another 500 years.

 

recycling future timeline 2050 2100

 

 

The number of trillionaires in the world exceeds 10

The world's first trillionaire had emerged in the 2030s. The entire top 10 of the Forbes rich list is now composed of such individuals.* Due in part to inflation, 20% of the global adult population now possesses a net worth of US$1 million or more. The rich have also become younger, more female and less Western.

 

first trillionaires 2050 2070 future

 


 

2075-2080

The first space elevator is becoming operational


Image result for space elevator is becoming operational

Image result for space elevator is becoming operational

The idea of a space elevator had been around as early as 1895, when Russian scientist Konstantin Tsiolkovsky first explored the concept. Inspired by the newly-built Eiffel Tower, he described a free-standing structure reaching from ground level into geostationary orbit. Rising some 36,000 km (22,000 mi) above the equator and following the direction of Earth's rotation, it would have an orbital period of exactly one day and thus be maintained in a fixed position.

A number of more detailed proposals emerged in the mid-late 20th century, as the Space Race got underway and manned trips to Earth orbit became increasingly routine. It was hoped that a space elevator could drastically reduce the cost of getting into orbit – revolutionising access to near-Earth space, the Moon, Mars and beyond. However, the upfront investment and level of technology required meant that such a project was rendered impractical for now, confining it to the realm of science fiction.

By the early decades of the 21st century, the concept was being taken more seriously, due to progress being made with carbon nanotubes. These cylindrical molecules offered ways of synthesising an ultra-strong material with sufficiently high tensile strength and sufficiently low density for the elevator cable. However, they could only be produced at extremely small scales. In 2004, the record length for a single-wall nanotube was just 4 cm. Although highly promising, further research would be needed to refine the manufacturing process.

It was not until the 2040s* that material for a practical, full-length cable became technically feasible, with the required tensile strength of 130 gigapascals (GPa). Even then, design challenges persisted – such as how to nullify dangerous vibrations in the cable, triggered by gravitational tugs from the Moon and Sun, along with pressure from gusts of solar wind.**

Major legal and financial hurdles also needed to be overcome – requiring international agreements on safety, security and compensation in the event of an accident or terrorist incident. The insurance arrangements were of particular concern, given the potential for large-scale catastrophe if something went wrong. In the interim, smaller experimental structures were built, demonstrating the basic concept at lower altitudes. These would eventually pave the way to a larger and more advanced design.

 

Click to enlarge

space elevator schematics

 

By the late 2070s,*** following 15 years of construction,* a space elevator reaching from the Earth's surface into geostationary orbit has become fully operational. The construction process involves placing a spacecraft at a fixed position – 35,786 km (22,236 mi) above the equator – then gradually extending a tether down to "grow" the cable towards Earth. It also extends upwards from this point – to over 47,000 km (29,204 mi) – a height at which objects can escape the pull of gravity altogether. A large counterweight is placed at this outer end to keep it taut. Locations that are most suitable as ground stations include French Guiana, Central Africa, Sri Lanka and Indonesia.

As with most forms of transport and infrastructure in the late 21st century, the space elevator is controlled by artificial intelligence, which constantly monitors and maintains the structure throughout. If necessary, robots can be dispatched to fix problems in the cable or other components, from ground level to the cold vacuum of space. This is rarely required, however, due to the efficiency and safety mechanisms in the design.

A major space boom is now underway, as people and cargo can be delivered to orbit at vastly reduced costs, compared with traditional launches. Over 1,000 tons of material can be lifted in a single day, greater than the weight of the International Space Station, which took over a decade to build at the start of the century.*

Although relatively slow – taking many hours to ascend* – the ride is much smoother than conventional rockets, with no high-G forces or explosives. Upon leaving the atmosphere and reaching Low Earth Orbit, between 160 km (99 mi) and 2,000 km (1,200 mi), cargo or passengers can be transferred to enter their own orbit around Earth. Alternatively, they can be jettisoned beyond geosynchronous orbit, in craft moving at sufficient speed to escape the planet's gravity, travelling onward to more remote destinations such as the Moon or Mars.

In the decades ahead, additional space elevators become operational above Earth, the Moon, Mars and elsewhere in the Solar System,* with a considerable reduction in costs and technical risks. Construction is also made easier by lower gravity: 0.16 g for the Moon and 0.38 g on Mars. Further into the future, space elevators are rendered obsolete by teleportation and similar technologies.

 

space elevator 2050 2075 2080 the late 21st century technology


image.png


  上海彻底被海水淹没消失

Shanghai, China

17.5 million people affected

“Shanghai is completely gone – I’d have to move to Tibet!” says resident Wang Liubin, when he is shown projections for the city after 3C of global warming.

When it comes to flooding, the coastal city is one of the world’s most vulnerable. Now one of the world’s biggest ports, the former fishing village is bordered by the Yangtze river in the north and divided through the middle by the Huangpu river; the municipality involves several islands, two long coastlines, shipping ports, and miles of canals, rivers, and waterways.

In 2012, a report from a team of UK and Dutch scientists declared Shanghai the most vulnerable major city in the world to serious flooding, based on factors such as numbers of people living close to the coastline, time needed to recover from flooding, and measures to prevent floodwater. According to Climate Central projections, 17.5 million people could be displaced by rising waters if global temperatures increase by 3C.

Projections show the vast majority of the city could eventually be submerged in water, including much of the downtown area, landmarks such as the Lujiazui skyline and the historical Bund, both airports, and the entirety of its outlying Chongming Island.

Since 2012, the government has been making steady inroads to tackle the threat, including building China’s largest deepwater drainage system beneath the Suzhou Creek waterway, made up of 15km of pipes to drain rainwater across a 58 sq km area. It has also rolled out a 40bn yuan (£5bn) River Flood Discharge project which will stretch for 120km between Lake Taihu and the Huangpu river to try and mitigate the risk of the upstream lake flooding.

Flood prevention walls are being built along the waterfront – in places so high the river is blocked from view – and 200km more are promised across the city’s outlying districts. Flood controls have been put in place along the famous Bund waterfront, where the walkway has been raised to help counter a flood risk, as well as a series of water controls and dams.

Helen Roxburgh in Shanghai


  ******************************************


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针对上述英国反党分子 Craig Hamilton-Parker 的

反人类预言,万维意见领袖、舆情导航舵手

蜜蜂花博作出了重要批示:


         2020 —— 中国屁事没有!


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http://news.creaders.net/china/2019/12/25/2171712.html

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