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债务上限增加不足,大熊判断QE3挡不住熊掌一击。
送交者:  2011年08月04日13:14:46 于 [世界股票论坛] 发送悄悄话

Now that the U.S. debt deal has come and gone, the focus has turned back to the American and global economies. The picture does not look pretty, and markets have taken notice. Stock indexes continue to tumble Thursday, with the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq falling more than 2 percent.

After last week's shocking GDP data and this week's soft manufacturing data and worse-than-expected consumer spending numbers, there's been renewed talk of another round of quantitative easing -- the Federal Reserve's stimulus program to spur growth by buying up government bonds.

Lance Roberts, CEO and chief strategist of Streettalk Advisors, says there is nothing more certain the QE3 and the potential for another recession. "The trend of the data is all negative, so barring any quantitative easing program from the Fed, we will probably be in a recession by the end of the year."

Roberts is of the mind that the Fed will step in to help stave off another recession, but the potential for it to work after QE1 and QE2 is not great due to the law of diminishing returns.

To top that off, he says markets, not consumers, will feel all the benefits if QE3 should come to pass. Consumers will actually take a beating because commodity prices -- oil and food prices -- will jump as the Fed pumps more dollars into the economy.

If it were up to Roberts, economic and job growth would come from keeping taxes low and taking "the breaks off oil and gas drilling," which he says would create an immediate 3 million jobs.

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  现在能叫“崩盘”了么?  /无内容 - fs2010 08/04/11 (245)
    Nasdaq跌5%,应该说是崩盘了。  /无内容 - 道友 08/04/11 (306)
      VIX大升30%,是否进入“恐慌”了呢?  /无内容 - fs2010 08/04/11 (244)
        中等程度恐慌? - 道友 08/04/11 (304)
          没到绝望呢,还得等一等?  /无内容 - fs2010 08/04/11 (233)
            头肩跌,好像刚开始。  /无内容 - 道友 08/04/11 (281)
              道行尚浅,不敢做空和碰PUT,只能耐住性子站边上看热闹了  /无内容 - fs2010 08/04/11 (251)
                如果是熊市,只要“耐住性子站边上看”就击败大市了  /无内容 - bubble 08/04/11 (252)
                  呵呵,真的是这样,多谢道兄和泡兄点拨  /无内容 - fs2010 08/04/11 (259)
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                老D说银行没什么油水因为前面已经跌惨了,老道觉得电子业最危险 - 道友 08/04/11 (379)
                  有道理,找几个看看。GPS类的好像不妙。  /无内容 - bubble 08/04/11 (262)
                    BRCD几天跌去一半  /无内容 - 道友 08/05/11 (244)
  现在能叫“崩盘”了么?  /无内容 - fs2010 08/04/11 (225)
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